oppn parties RBI: Inflationary Pressures Induce Rate Hike

News Snippets

  • Centre appointed former SC judge A M Khanwilkar as the new Lokpal. It also named three judicial and three non-judicial members of the Lokpal panel
  • A 9-judge Supreme Court bench started hearings on whether states are entitled to tax mineral-rich land in their respective states
  • Taking note of the huge disparity in charges in government and private hospitals for most treatment procedures, the Supreme Court asked the Centre to strictly enforce the CGHS rates or warned that the court would have to step in
  • Calcutta HC ruled that regardless of a woman employee being regualr or on contract and whether her contract permitted maternity leave, employers cannot deny childbirth and maternity leave to any women employee as it 'seeks to create a class within a class which is not permissible'
  • Sebi asks MF companies to disclose more risks associated with their small and mid cap funds
  • Vodafone Idea board approves Rs 45000cr funding infusion
  • NCLT clears Hinduja acquisition of Reliance Capital at Rs 9650cr upfront payment within 90 days of approval of resolution plan
  • Stocks returned to winning ways on Tuesday: Sensex gained 305 points to 73095 and Nifty 76 points to 22198
  • Commonwealth Chess championships: Mitrabha Guha wins title by scoring 7.5 points in 9 rounds
  • WPL: RCB beat Gujarat Giants by 8 wickets
  • Bengal starts paying MNREGA workers out of own funds as Central disbursement is stopped due to alleged 'discrepancies' in accounts
  • ISC chemistry paper postponed to March 21 just hours before start of exam due to "unforeseen circumstances"
  • Ghajal legend Pankaj Udhas passes away. he was 72
  • Calcutta HC says that there is no stay on arresting TMC leader Shahjahan and he should be arrested immediately
  • With latest data showing big fall in consumption of food and cereal, the government might rejig retail inflation data
Cross-voting in Rajya Sabha elections enables BJP to snatch seats in UP & Himachal /////// Congress government in Himachal in trouble as some MLAs revolt
oppn parties
RBI: Inflationary Pressures Induce Rate Hike

By Sunil Garodia
First publised on 2018-06-06 20:59:18

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Editor-in-Chief of indiacommentary.com. Current Affairs analyst and political commentator.
For the first time in four years, the RBI MPC raised the repo and reverse repo rates by 25 basis points to make them 6.25 and 6% respectively. This has been done to make borrowing costlier in the wake of rising inflation and expectations of further inflationary pressures. The met department has forecast a normal to good monsoon this year which means that there will be abundant crop. Couple this with the game of political oneupmanship being played around farmer distress that is sure to raise minimum support prices.

Both these events will put money in the pockets of the rural population and there will be huge demand for goods from them, further increasing the inflationary trend. Then, international price of crude and commodities show no sign of easing. The RBI has already identified inflationary trend in sectors such as transport and communication, clothing, household goods and services, health, recreation, education, and personal care. It has also made an upward revision of its inflation projections for both half of the current financial year.

In such a scenario, it is prudent to follow a tight money policy and raise rates. People with home and other loans might be asked to pay an increased EMI as a result, but the effect is going to be minimal especially as several banks, led by SBI, had increased their lending rates by 10 basis points just a few days back. It seems that it was done in expectation of an RBI increase and the banks may not raise their rates further.

It is wrong to believe that small rate increases lead people to put off investment. If a project is good and viable, a 25 basis point rate increase is not going to put much pressure on its finances. Entrepreneurs are going to look for finance and keep investing, irrespective of small increase in interest rates, as long as the overall outlook for the economy remains positive. The inflation-driven rate increase by the RBI will not act as a dampener for investment, especially since the economy is on the path of revival after having shaken off the effects of twin disruptions in demonetization and GST roll-out. Keeping this in mind, the RBI has raised the quantum of SLR, giving banks more leeway in lending.