oppn parties How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

News Snippets

  • India's sovereign green bonds were oversubscribed four times as the RBI received 266 bids worth Rs 32892cr agaisnt the target of Rs 8000cr
  • Google tweaks its Android and India app store policy to allow manufacturers and users to choose certain things instead of compulsorily using Google apps after the CCI order and fine for unfairly dominating the market
  • Former US secretary of state calls former Indian external affairs minister Sushma Swaraj a "goofback" and a "hinterland political hack". MEA S Jaishankar slams him
  • Jamia screening of BBC documentary on Gujarat riots cancelled after the university was turned into a fortress and later 13 students were detained by the police
  • Supreme Court grants conditional interim bail for eight weeks to Lakhimpur Kheri accused Ashish Mishra. The bail can be further extended based on his conduct. He was asked to stay outside Delhi-NCR and UP and surrender his passport
  • After the JNU administration tried to thwart the students from screening the BBC documentary on the Gujarat riots and PM Modi, now students of Presidency and Jadavpur universities in Kolkata have decided to screen it 5 times next week
  • While a US research frim Hindenburg says its analysis found the Adani group overleveraged and claimed that its bubble will burst very soon and that sent the price of group companies crashing (Adani companies lost a combined Rs 55000cr), Adani group said the report was 'baseless' and 'malicious'
  • This time Enforcement Directorate arrests TMC spokesperson Saket Gokhale under PMLA for money laundering
  • Padma awards announced on Republic Day: Mulayam Singh Yadav, architect Balkrishna Doshi and ORS pioneer Dilip Mahalanobis get Padma Bibhushan posthumously, Padma Bhushan ius awarded to Kumar Mangalam Birla and 8 others and 91 get Padma Shri
  • Stocks fall big time on Wednesday on F&O expiry, finalncial and banks take big hit: Sensex tumbles 773 points to 60205 and Nifty 226 points to 17892 even as the market volatility meter shoots up by 8.51%
  • World Cup hockey: Germany stun England 4-3 to reach semifinals; Netherlands beat Korea 5-1 to enter last four
  • Australian Open: Sania Mirza and Rohan Bopanna reach the finals
  • Suryakumar Yadav is named ICC Cricketer of the Year 2022 and Renuka Singh gets the ICC Emerging Cricketer of the Year 2022 award
  • BCCI gets a whopping Rs 4670cr in the auctions for the 5 teams in WIPL or as it will be known now, WPL. Adani Sportline gets Ahmedabad for Rs 1289cr while Mumbai Indians get Mumbai for 913cr
  • Calcutta HC overturns the hookah bar ban in Kolkata by saying that it is not an illegal trade
India Commentary Wishes A Happy Republic Day To All Its Readers /////// India Commentary Wishes A Happy Basant Panchami And Saraswati Puja To All Its Readers
oppn parties
How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

By Linus Garg
First publised on 2019-05-22 11:33:56

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Linus tackles things head-on. He takes sides in his analysis and it fits excellently with our editorial policy. No 'maybe's' and 'allegedly' for him, only things in black and white.
The stock markets dropped yesterday after touching record highs on the day exit polls predicted a comfortable majority for the NDA. That day, stocks had shown the highest single day jump in 10 years. But most analysts say that the drop yesterday was on account of profit taking and is not a reversal of the uptrend. In fact, they say that if results mirror the exit polls, the Nifty well might breach the 12000 level or even inch close to 12500.

To support their theory, analysts point out to the open interest being shown by traders at 12000 and even 12500 levels. They say that since no trades are being squared up for these levels – in fact, trades are being added – it is clear that the market is going to move upwards and touch dizzying heights. Only a complete reversal of the trends shown in the exit polls will cause a crash in the market. Analysts feel that given that most exit polls show a similar trend of majority for NDA, such a scenario is unlikely.

But what should a small trader do in such a scenario? The markets are already at very high levels. One feels that apart from a small rally, the markets have already taken in the fact that the NDA will return again ensuring policy continuity. But exit polls have gone wrong in the past. A small trader is more likely to burn his fingers at these levels if he or she does not do his homework properly. The chances of making money in the short term are decidedly low. Hence, small traders will find it better not to invest until a clearer trend emerges.