oppn parties How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

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  • Supreme Court approves two-child norm for government jobs in Rajasthan
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  • BJP alleges that Congress workers raised slogans like 'Pakistan jindabad' outside Karnataka assembly after the results for the RS polls were declared. CM Siddaramaiah promises stern action if claim found true
  • Calcutta HC says any agency can arrest absconding Sandeshkhali TMC strongman Sk Shahjahan
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  • Vodafone Idea shares fall nearly 15% over fears of huge fund raising
  • Stock markets crash on Wednesday: Sensex loses 790 points to 72304 and Nifty 247 points to 21951
  • BCCI gets tough, removes Shreyas Iyer and Ishan Kishan from central contracts for missing Ranji Trophy. In a first, it starts fast bowling contracts to reward emerging players like Akash Deep and four others
  • Tennis: Sumit Nagal loses in first round of Dubai Duty Free tournament
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Bengal police arrests TMC leader Sk Shahjahan, the prime accused in the Sandeshkhali disturbances
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How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

By Linus Garg
First publised on 2019-05-22 11:33:56

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Linus tackles things head-on. He takes sides in his analysis and it fits excellently with our editorial policy. No 'maybe's' and 'allegedly' for him, only things in black and white.
The stock markets dropped yesterday after touching record highs on the day exit polls predicted a comfortable majority for the NDA. That day, stocks had shown the highest single day jump in 10 years. But most analysts say that the drop yesterday was on account of profit taking and is not a reversal of the uptrend. In fact, they say that if results mirror the exit polls, the Nifty well might breach the 12000 level or even inch close to 12500.

To support their theory, analysts point out to the open interest being shown by traders at 12000 and even 12500 levels. They say that since no trades are being squared up for these levels – in fact, trades are being added – it is clear that the market is going to move upwards and touch dizzying heights. Only a complete reversal of the trends shown in the exit polls will cause a crash in the market. Analysts feel that given that most exit polls show a similar trend of majority for NDA, such a scenario is unlikely.

But what should a small trader do in such a scenario? The markets are already at very high levels. One feels that apart from a small rally, the markets have already taken in the fact that the NDA will return again ensuring policy continuity. But exit polls have gone wrong in the past. A small trader is more likely to burn his fingers at these levels if he or she does not do his homework properly. The chances of making money in the short term are decidedly low. Hence, small traders will find it better not to invest until a clearer trend emerges.