oppn parties How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

News Snippets

  • 2nd ODI: Rohit Sharma roars back to form with a scintillating ton as India beat England by 4 wickets in a high scoring match in Cuttack
  • Supreme Court will appoint an observer for the mayoral poll in Chandigarh
  • Government makes it compulsory for plastic carry bag makers to put a QR or barcode with their details on such bags
  • GBS outbreak in Pune leaves 73 ill with 14 on ventilator. GBS is a rare but treatable autoimmune disease
  • Madhya Pradesh government banned sale and consumption of liquor at 19 religious sites including Ujjain and Chitrakoot
  • Odisha emerges at the top in the fiscal health report of states while Haryana is at the bottom
  • JSW Steel net profit takes a massive hit of 70% in Q3
  • Tatas buy 60% stake in Pegatron, the contractor making iPhone's in India
  • Stocks return to negative zone - Sensex sheds 329 points to 76190 and Nifty loses 113 points to 23092
  • Bumrah, Jadeja and Yashasvi Jaiswal make the ICC Test team of the year even as no Indian found a place in the ODI squad
  • India take on England in the second T20 today at Chennai. They lead the 5-match series 1-0
  • Ravindra Jadeja excels in Ranji Trophy, takes 12 wickets in the match as Saurashtra beat Delhi by 10 wickets. All other Team India stars disappoint in the national tournament
  • Madhya Pradesh HC says collectors must not apply NSA "under political pressure and without application of mind"
  • Oxfam charged by CBI over violation of FCRA
  • Indian students in the US have started quitting part-time jobs (which are not legally allowed as per visa rules) over fears of deportation
Manipur Chief Minister Biren Singh resigns after meeting Home Minister Amit Shah and BJP chief J P Nadda /////// President's Rule likely in Manipur
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How Will The Poll Results Affect The Stock Market?

By Linus Garg
First publised on 2019-05-22 11:33:56

About the Author

Sunil Garodia Linus tackles things head-on. He takes sides in his analysis and it fits excellently with our editorial policy. No 'maybe's' and 'allegedly' for him, only things in black and white.
The stock markets dropped yesterday after touching record highs on the day exit polls predicted a comfortable majority for the NDA. That day, stocks had shown the highest single day jump in 10 years. But most analysts say that the drop yesterday was on account of profit taking and is not a reversal of the uptrend. In fact, they say that if results mirror the exit polls, the Nifty well might breach the 12000 level or even inch close to 12500.

To support their theory, analysts point out to the open interest being shown by traders at 12000 and even 12500 levels. They say that since no trades are being squared up for these levels – in fact, trades are being added – it is clear that the market is going to move upwards and touch dizzying heights. Only a complete reversal of the trends shown in the exit polls will cause a crash in the market. Analysts feel that given that most exit polls show a similar trend of majority for NDA, such a scenario is unlikely.

But what should a small trader do in such a scenario? The markets are already at very high levels. One feels that apart from a small rally, the markets have already taken in the fact that the NDA will return again ensuring policy continuity. But exit polls have gone wrong in the past. A small trader is more likely to burn his fingers at these levels if he or she does not do his homework properly. The chances of making money in the short term are decidedly low. Hence, small traders will find it better not to invest until a clearer trend emerges.